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Conventional wisdom stated that recent Supreme Court rulings boosted the declining political fortunes of the Democratic Party. “Roe’s fall could save Democrats in the midterm period, at least in the suburbs” declared a headline from Time Magazine, “Democrats bet on Roe’s ballot power” read another from Axios.
True, the topic provided a conversation changer from $ 5 gasoline and soaring inflation. But do not be so sure that these trends will last until November. Here are five reasons why.
First, the decision is the latest reminder of President Joe Biden’s status as a relic of the past. Five decades ago, a 30-year-old newly elected senator from Delaware declared that the Supreme Court went “too far” in terms of abortion. Half a century later, as the soon-to-be 80-year-old leader of the Democratic Party, the same man spits mad.
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But words are not enough for some apparently in Biden’s camp. Progressive as US Representative Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., Demanded, “more specific actions rolled out … We all knew this was coming.”
Jayapal is right. The court’s decision was telegraphed almost two months ago via the unprecedented leak of the draft decision. Still, it took almost a week for the president to call for blowing up the filibuster to enroll abortion rights in the law, which received a rare nod of approval from the U.S. rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, DN.Y., in the process. (Just as the Senate Democrats’ decision to circumvent filibuster rules a decade ago paved the way for Republicans to confirm the Conservative majority in the Supreme Court – that’s a topic for another column.)
Which comes to the second reason: the most extreme voices of the left occupy a central stage – and so are their ideas. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren declared the court had “lost legitimacy” and proposed abortion tents in national parks. The aforementioned AOC proposed to sue the judges. Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot shouted “F — Clarence Thomas.” Even the former (and future?) Democratic flag bearer, Hillary Clinton, jumped in and announced, “Women must die.”
So much for Biden’s call in his opening speech to “lower the temperature.”
Third, the Biden presidency is on the verge of unraveling. His approval rating hit a new low of 38% according to Real Clear Politics. At this point in their respective terms, President Barack Obama’s approval was at 46%, while President Donald Trump was at 42% – and their party received shelling in the first midterm periods. The bid’s legislative agenda has hopelessly stalled. Instead, his White House is already focused on the onslaught of congressional investigations into the likely case of a GOP congress.
Worst of all, the silent whispers about Biden’s ability to stand for re-election are slated for an open conversation among leading Democrats. Both Clinton and Ocasio-Cortez are facing questions about their 2024 plans. Vice President Kamala Harris’ statement that Biden “is running for re-election and I want to be his ticket mate” did little to silence doubts.
Speculation has left Team Biden understandably “confused,” according to the New York Times. After all, he was elected with the most votes ever less than two years ago.
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It has all been downward since, for both Biden and the country, which brings us to the fourth reason.
On its way into Independence Day, America is in a villain. In the Associated Press survey showed that 85% of adults think the country is heading in the wrong direction and it is easy to see why. Anyone planning to travel for the holiday weekend faces a choice between widespread flight delays and cancellations, soaring prices and lack of rental cars and the highest petrol prices in our nation’s history – prices that US consumers will face “as long as it takes,” according to Biden. Even the average price of a cookout has increased by 17% compared to last year.
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The fifth and final factor: The Biden presidency has not been a boon to the economy (or frankly much of anything), but it has been a shot in the arm for GOP voter registration numbers. New data from the Associated Press showed that more than a million voters in 43 states have switched to the Republican Party. The American public is voting with their feet and well before the election season. Democrats are giving back all the gains they made in the Trump years.
The Supreme Court is now pausing until October, and the dust is beginning to settle from the latest wave of convictions. When that happens, the Democratic Party will be heading into a scary midway landscape led by a president who has lost more than a few miles an hour from his fastball. The dice have been rolled and now the responsible party has nothing to do but prepare for the impact.
CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM COLIN REED