Mid-term polls predict gloomy prospects for the Dems, following the GOP with groups they normally win

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A new poll shows Republicans have a lead up to this year’s midterm elections, including among groups that are more traditionally in line with the Democratic Party.

Asked which party they are likely to vote for in their district, 52% of Latino voters said they would vote for a Republican, compared with 39% who said they would prefer a Democrat, according to the results of a new NPR and Marist party. measurement. Democrats also follow among voters under the age of 45, with 50% saying they would vote for a Republican compared to 40% who said they planned to vote for a Democrat.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell
(AP Photo / J. Scott Applewhite)


Latinos have traditionally preferred to vote for the Democrats, but recent data have shown that the group has begun to walk away from the party over the past few years. Younger voters have also traditionally gone in the direction of Democrats, with 55% of those aged 30-49 supporting President Biden in 2020, and 59% of those aged 18-29 voting for Biden.

Republicans also enjoy a lead among independent voters, with 45% saying they would vote for a Republican compared to 38% saying they would support a Democrat.

But both groups can help with the power for the GOP to win in 2022, with 47% of voters generally indicating that they would choose a Republican candidate compared to 44% who said they would support a Democrat.

Democrats have historically surpassed Republicans in the generic congressional vote, and this is the first time the GOP has led the poll since winning control of both Parliament and the Senate in 2014. A lead of just a few points could cause problems for Democrats, who now three points left six months before the election.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer
(AP Photo / Susan Walsh)

President Biden the approval rating also remains underwater, with 41% of voters saying they approve of the president’s job performance compared to 51% who disagree. Of those who reject, 37% indicated that they strongly disapprove of Biden’s performance.

Economic issues lead the way in directing voters toward Republicans, with 42% of voters stating that they believe the GOP would do a better job with the economy compared to 26% who believe Democrats are better equipped to deal with the issue. Voters also favor Republicans when it comes to inflation, with 41% saying they trust the GOP more to control inflation compared to 20% who said Democrats would be better off.

President Biden

President Biden
(AP Photo / Carolyn Kaster, File)


Republicans also have a head start in dealing with crime, national security, immigration and gun rights.

The study was conducted between 19 and 26 April, examining 1,377 adults with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

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