2 best games for Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves (April 23)

Is there anything better than 10 hours of NBA Playoff basketball on a Saturday afternoon? Our betting analyst certainly does not think so.

Today’s wall-to-wall postseason coverage begins with 76ers vs. Raptors (14:00 ET), a series that could see its end if the Raptors can not pull off a home win. The action goes to Utah for the wildly entertaining West Series between the Mavericks and the Jazz (16:30 ET).

The star-studded showdown between the Celtics and the Nets (19.30 ET) shifts to the Barclays Center in Brooklyn for the third part of the playoff coverage, after which the evening ends with Game 4 of the Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves (22:00 ET) following a historic comeback from Memphis.

While each of these games is compelling in itself, our team has reset two matches, leaning heavily on the players’ props.

Find their expert analysis and best deals on Saturday below.

NBA Odds & Picks

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz

Pick
Mavs +6 | Mavs ML (+205)
Order
WynnBet
Tipoff
16:30 ET
TV
TNT

Brandon Andersen: It feels like this series is over.

Jazz is up against it. They are down 2-1 by playing at home for the franchise at this point. You can not be eliminated this way in three consecutive playoffs and not see serious changes. If Utah comes home and loses both games, it feels like they’re done and at least one or more of Donovan Mitchell, Rudy Gobert and Quin Snyder are gone.

Normally, that would make this a kind of kitchen sink for Utah, a place to support the Jazz with everything at stake. I’m just not sure this team cares much. They’ve apparently been arguing with each other for some time now, and they must be just as tired and weary of watching the same old movie as the rest of us.

Opponents get small, play a stretch big, drive past a no-burger perimeter defense, catch Rudy Gobert trying to defend two guys at once 22 feet apart, kick to the corner, open the 3-pointer, swish. Rinse, wash, repeat.

Mavs cracked the code in game 2 and then repeated it in game 3. Maxi Kleber and Davis Bertans count on fire from the center and Jalen Brunson gets everything he wants.

One save for Utah is that they jazzed themselves up in the third quarter of Game 3, put Gobert on the bench and tried a small-ball lineup with Eric Paschall in the middle. It opened things up and helped Utah look perhaps best offensively that it had looked in all series. Mitchell had all sorts of room to attack the edge, so it could be a good place to pair Mitchell overs with Gobert unders if we get it again.

But will Jazz go for it no Gobert lineup early or often enough? It does not feel that way. It also did not look like the team had a distant chance defensively, and if Luka Doncic fits, he should separate that defense from each other.

Utah can not reach its 3s. It can not defend this team. It just feels like Jazz is out of response and they have handed over their own response key to Jason Kidd and Mavs.

If jazz commits to playing small, this might turn into a shootout and a shot variance game. But even their scoring right now does not look very durable and is too dependent on Jordan Clarkson doing things.

Nothing I have seen from this series has achieved the respect of a six-point line. I play the cover and I play Mavs to win straight. Once you have given the answer key away, it is quite difficult to put the toothpaste back in the tube.


»Back to table of contents«


Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz

Pick
Rudy Gobert under 29.5 PTS + AST + REB (-110)
Order
Caesars
Tipoff
16:30 ET
TV
TNT

Matt Moore: Gobert is oh-for on this prop in this series. In Game 3, out of sheer desperation, Quin Snyder became small and played non-center Eric Paschall. It seemed like the Jazz were getting back in the game by increasing their offensive production.

There is no reason to believe that the only strategy the Jazz have found to curb the Mavericks will be abandoned in a must-win game at home. Whether it’s Paschall or Hassan Whiteside who’s net positive in this series so far, Gobert is likely to play fewer minutes.

Gobert’s scoring has been sparse and his rebounds have dropped lately. He is not a passer-by either. This line is way too steep. I like it down to 27.5.


»Back to table of contents«


Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz

Pick
Donovan Mitchell over 30.5 points (-115)
Order
BetMGM
Tipoff
16:30 ET
TV
TNT

Munaf Manji: Donovan Mitchell has been one of the two consistent scorers for the Utah Jazz in this series so far. In fact, in the three games so far in this series, Mitchell has an average of 32.7 points per game. match, which tops the 30-point mark in all three matches.

Mitchell is also the only player on the Jazz with an average of more than 40 minutes per game. fight so far. He has also averaged an unreal 26.7 field goal attempts in this series – Mitchell took 30 of the Jazz’s 82 shots in Game 2.

Scoring is not new to Mitchell, especially on this stage. He has scored 31 or more points in eight out of his last 10 playoff games. He can create his own shot from the dribble, hit 3-point shots down and is an excellent free-kick shooter.

The Jazz will need Mitchell to continue his scoring if they want a chance to equalize this series. And despite his low efficiency so far, it appears he is set to lead the team in wide-margin shooting attempts. I will continue to take Mitchell over this 30.5 point line.


»Back to table of contents«


Memphis Grizzlies Vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Pick
Ja Morant over 8.5 assists (-113)
Order
BetRivers
Tipoff
22:00 ET
TV
ESPN

Matt Moore: The Wolves are running the second most coverage at pick-and-roll level in the playoffs at the moment.

It puts both players defending pick-and-roll up on the ball handler to force the ball out of Morant’s hands. It leads to high percentage chances if they can hit the trigger and Brandon Clarke and Jaren Jackson can both finish the roll.

Morant has crossed this line twice already in this series, including games 2 and 3. Minnesota is likely to play better offensively in Game 4 after the epic collapse, but Morant will have enough opportunities to pick up double-digit assists. I like this plug up to 9.5.


»Back to table of contents«


Memphis Grizzlies Vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Pick
Timberwolves +3 | Timberwolves ML (+130)
Order
PointsBet
Tipoff
22:00 ET
TV
ESPN

Raheem Palmer: The Memphis Grizzlies overcame two 20-point deficits to defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of their first round of the playoffs. While many may assume the wolves are done, I do not buy it.

The Wolves have been the better team in large parts of this series. For much of the last three games, the Grizzlies have struggled to score at half-time. They ranked 23rd in half track points per. possession (93.4) ​​in the regular season, while the Wolves ranked 14th (97) in the same category.

In the off-season, when the game slows down, it is much easier to neutralize a team that generates many of its points in the transition and through second chance on offensive rebounds. Although the playoff polls will not show it due to the 21-0 run in the fourth, the Wolves have had the better starting lineup, while the Grizzlies survive from their depth.

The biggest thing is that the Wolves have been able to play Steven Adams off the floor and still dominate them on the glass for much of this series. It is quite telling that the Wolves had several 20-point leads despite Karl Anthony Towns getting into bad trouble and scoring eight points on just 3-of-4 shots. Although Towns is prone to problems, we simply can not expect that kind of performance from him in the future. He is simply too good for a player.

As long as the Wolves can clear up the small mental flaws, they have a real chance of winning Game 4 and potentially taking this series. I support them in game 4 on the spread and money line and sprinkle a small amount on Wolves to come back and win the series to +560.


»Back to table of contents«


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.